Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.152412 0.168819 0.185606 0.204023 0.223622 0.243815 0.266154
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.129938 0.152631 0.176718 0.204049 0.234066 0.265898 0.302075
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.114047 0.141090 0.170722 0.205310 0.244285 0.286571 0.335643
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.100123 0.130081 0.163893 0.204379 0.251045 0.302681 0.363669
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.091533 0.124210 0.162059 0.208376 0.262780 0.323957 0.397246
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.082630 0.117073 0.157991 0.209114 0.270236 0.339994 0.424646
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.074713 0.110409 0.153863 0.209228 0.276512 0.354345 0.449897
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.067180 0.103579 0.148974 0.207922 0.280689 0.365940 0.471731
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.061821 0.099111 0.146649 0.209437 0.288009 0.381080 0.497641
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058875 0.097594 0.147881 0.215240 0.300482 0.402355 0.530886
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054218 0.093370 0.145295 0.215943 0.306451 0.415665 0.554557
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051233 0.091249 0.145301 0.219833 0.316314 0.433680 0.583928
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047384 0.087745 0.143415 0.221342 0.323389 0.448633 0.610128
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043239 0.083493 0.140260 0.220978 0.327941 0.460413 0.632472
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039945 0.080269 0.138333 0.222098 0.334304 0.474408 0.657570
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036275 0.076166 0.134922 0.221005 0.337636 0.484509 0.677820
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034429 0.074826 0.135383 0.225155 0.347833 0.503308 0.708968
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031799 0.071991 0.133488 0.225900 0.353424 0.516207 0.732748
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.029222 0.069029 0.131235 0.226002 0.358059 0.527832 0.754926
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.026498 0.065578 0.128051 0.224618 0.360566 0.536640 0.773513
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.024681 0.063586 0.126995 0.226208 0.367069 0.550616 0.798699
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023984 0.063594 0.129040 0.232313 0.379799 0.572786 0.834461
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.022199 0.061406 0.127491 0.233051 0.385066 0.585160 0.857697